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Sunday 6 November 2011, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
23% 34% 44%
Home win
22.8%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
43.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 22.8% 4.39
Draw 33.6% 2.98
PAOK 43.6% 2.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.4% 5.76
Over 1.5 54.3% 1.84
Under 1.5 45.7% 2.19
Over 2.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 2.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.8% 9.26
Under 3.5 89.2% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.73
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.4% 2.91
No 65.6% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 56.4% 1.77
Asteras Tripolis / PAOK 66.4% 1.51
Draw / PAOK 77.2% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.4
17.3
9.9
3.6
1.0
0.2
1
11.0
13.5
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
4.1
4.5
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.1
3
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.