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Sunday 23 October 2011, 20:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
27% 41% 32%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
40.9%
Away win
31.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 27.4% 3.65
Draw 40.9% 2.44
PAOK 31.7% 3.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 72.8% 1.37
Under 0.5 27.2% 3.67
Over 1.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 1.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 2.5 14.9% 6.70
Under 2.5 85.1% 1.18
Over 3.5 4.6% 21.79
Under 3.5 95.4% 1.05
Over 4.5 1.2% 86.36
Under 4.5 98.8% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 24.2% 4.14
No 75.8% 1.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 68.3% 1.46
Aris Thessalonikis / PAOK 59.1% 1.69
Draw / PAOK 72.6% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
27.2
17.8
6.5
1.5
0.3
0.0
1
16.0
12.3
4.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
5.2
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
3
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.