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Sunday 2 October 2011, 16:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
31% 29% 41%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
40.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 30.6% 3.27
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Xanthi FC 40.6% 2.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.48
Over 1.5 70.7% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.3% 3.41
Over 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.38
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 9.98
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 59.4% 1.68
Aris Thessalonikis / Xanthi FC 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Xanthi FC 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
10.8
7.6
3.4
1.1
0.3
1
9.0
13.7
8.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
5.4
7.2
4.7
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
2.0
2.7
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.