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Saturday 1 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
38% 29% 33%
Home win
38.0%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
32.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 38.0% 2.63
Draw 29.4% 3.41
Xanthi FC 32.7% 3.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.91
Over 1.5 69.4% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.6% 3.27
Over 2.5 42.4% 2.36
Under 2.5 57.6% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.6% 4.63
Under 3.5 78.4% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.3% 10.78
Under 4.5 90.7% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 67.3% 1.49
Aris Thessalonikis / Xanthi FC 70.6% 1.42
Draw / Xanthi FC 62.0% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
9.8
6.0
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
10.8
13.9
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.2
8.1
4.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.0
3.4
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.