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Sunday 5 January 2014, 19:30 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
28% 30% 42%
Home win
28.3%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
41.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 28.3% 3.54
Draw 29.9% 3.34
PAOK 41.8% 2.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.90
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.3% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.20
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.66
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.17
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 58.2% 1.72
Xanthi FC / PAOK 70.1% 1.43
Draw / PAOK 71.7% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
12.4
8.4
3.5
1.1
0.3
1
9.6
13.9
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
5.2
6.5
4.1
1.7
0.6
0.1
3
1.7
2.2
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.