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Wednesday 18 December 2013, 17:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
38% 33% 29%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
32.8%
Away win
28.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 38.4% 2.60
Draw 32.8% 3.05
PAOK 28.8% 3.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.60
Over 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 2.5 69.2% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.54
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 21.01
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.1% 2.56
No 60.9% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 71.2% 1.40
Atromitos / PAOK 67.2% 1.49
Draw / PAOK 61.6% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
11.8
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
14.4
14.2
5.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
8.1
7.1
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.9
2.5
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.