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Monday 23 September 2013, 19:30 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
47% 31% 22%
Home win
47.4%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
22.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 47.4% 2.11
Draw 30.7% 3.26
Aris Thessalonikis 22.0% 4.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.33
Over 1.5 61.5% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.5% 2.60
Over 2.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 2.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.2% 6.59
Under 3.5 84.8% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.48
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.6% 2.52
No 60.4% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 78.0% 1.28
Xanthi FC / Aris Thessalonikis 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 52.6% 1.90

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
9.2
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
15.6
13.5
4.9
1.3
0.2
0.0
2
10.4
8.1
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
4.4
3.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.