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Saturday 17 August 2013, 21:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
59% 27% 14%
Home win
59.0%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
14.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 59.0% 1.69
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Xanthi FC 14.1% 7.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.12
Over 1.5 63.9% 1.56
Under 1.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 2.5 36.4% 2.75
Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.1% 5.86
Under 3.5 82.9% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.7% 14.90
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.7% 2.72
No 63.3% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 85.9% 1.16
PAOK / Xanthi FC 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Xanthi FC 41.0% 2.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
6.5
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.2
11.7
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.7
8.4
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.0
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.