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Wednesday 29 May 2013, 18:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
51% 31% 17%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
17.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 51.5% 1.94
Draw 31.2% 3.21
Atromitos 17.3% 5.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.1% 6.20
Over 1.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 1.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 2.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 2.5 71.2% 1.40
Over 3.5 12.0% 8.33
Under 3.5 88.0% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.2% 24.02
Under 4.5 95.8% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.4% 2.99
No 66.6% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 82.7% 1.21
PAOK / Atromitos 68.8% 1.45
Draw / Atromitos 48.5% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.1
8.7
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
18.7
12.6
3.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
12.2
7.5
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
5.1
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.