Skip to content
Wednesday 15 May 2013, 19:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
31% 36% 34%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
35.7%
Away win
33.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 30.6% 3.27
Draw 35.7% 2.80
PAOK 33.7% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.2% 5.21
Over 1.5 51.2% 1.95
Under 1.5 48.8% 2.05
Over 2.5 24.1% 4.16
Under 2.5 75.9% 1.32
Over 3.5 9.2% 10.88
Under 3.5 90.8% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.9% 34.38
Under 4.5 97.1% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.3% 3.00
No 66.7% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 66.3% 1.51
Atromitos / PAOK 64.3% 1.56
Draw / PAOK 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.2
15.3
7.0
2.1
0.4
0.1
1
14.3
14.0
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
6.2
5.4
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
3
1.7
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.