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Sunday 14 April 2013, 19:00 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
2–2
HT 0–1
31% 34% 35%
Home win
31.4%
Draw
34.0%
Away win
34.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 31.4% 3.19
Draw 34.0% 2.94
Atromitos 34.6% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.3% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.7% 6.00
Over 1.5 55.7% 1.79
Under 1.5 44.3% 2.26
Over 2.5 28.1% 3.57
Under 2.5 72.0% 1.39
Over 3.5 11.5% 8.66
Under 3.5 88.5% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.9% 25.33
Under 4.5 96.1% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.0% 2.70
No 63.0% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 65.4% 1.53
OFI / Atromitos 66.0% 1.52
Draw / Atromitos 68.6% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.7
14.3
7.2
2.3
0.5
0.1
1
13.3
14.2
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
6.3
6.0
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.