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Saturday 30 March 2013, 16:30 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
35% 33% 32%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
32.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 34.6% 2.89
Draw 33.1% 3.03
PAS Giannina 32.4% 3.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.2% 6.58
Over 1.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 2.5 30.7% 3.26
Under 2.5 69.3% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.2% 7.58
Under 3.5 86.8% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.15
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.54
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 67.6% 1.48
OFI / PAS Giannina 66.9% 1.49
Draw / PAS Giannina 65.4% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.2
12.8
6.5
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
13.4
14.3
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
7.0
6.7
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.3
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.