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Sunday 21 April 2013, 19:00 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
48% 34% 19%
Home win
47.5%
Draw
33.7%
Away win
18.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 47.5% 2.10
Draw 33.7% 2.97
AEK Athens FC 18.8% 5.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 0.5 18.8% 5.31
Over 1.5 51.7% 1.94
Under 1.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 2.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 2.5 75.5% 1.32
Over 3.5 9.4% 10.59
Under 3.5 90.6% 1.10
Over 4.5 3.0% 33.16
Under 4.5 97.0% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.8% 3.25
No 69.2% 1.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 81.2% 1.23
Atromitos / AEK Athens FC 66.3% 1.51
Draw / AEK Athens FC 52.5% 1.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.8
10.0
3.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
19.5
12.7
3.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
11.3
6.7
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
4.2
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.