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Monday 8 April 2013, 19:30 Stadio Zosimades Full time
43% 34% 23%
Home win
43.4%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 43.4% 2.31
Draw 33.6% 2.98
AEK Athens FC 23.1% 4.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.3% 5.79
Over 1.5 54.5% 1.83
Under 1.5 45.5% 2.20
Over 2.5 27.0% 3.71
Under 2.5 73.0% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.9% 9.19
Under 3.5 89.1% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.41
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.6% 2.89
No 65.4% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 76.9% 1.30
PAS Giannina / AEK Athens FC 66.4% 1.51
Draw / AEK Athens FC 56.6% 1.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.3
11.0
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
17.2
13.6
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.8
7.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.5
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.0
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.