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Sunday 3 March 2013, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
34% 32% 34%
Home win
33.9%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
34.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 33.9% 2.95
Draw 32.0% 3.12
Panathinaikos 34.0% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.7% 7.30
Over 1.5 61.5% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.5% 2.60
Over 2.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 2.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.2% 6.59
Under 3.5 84.8% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.49
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.9% 2.39
No 58.1% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 66.0% 1.52
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 68.0% 1.47
Draw / Panathinaikos 66.1% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.7
12.4
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
12.4
14.3
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
6.8
6.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.3
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.