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Sunday 17 February 2013, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
26% 29% 45%
Home win
26.3%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
44.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 26.3% 3.80
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Panathinaikos 44.7% 2.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.60
Over 1.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.4% 3.18
Over 2.5 41.4% 2.41
Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.9% 4.80
Under 3.5 79.1% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.32
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.2% 2.12
No 52.8% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 55.3% 1.81
Aris Thessalonikis / Panathinaikos 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Panathinaikos 73.7% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
12.3
8.9
4.0
1.4
0.4
1
8.7
13.6
8.7
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
4.6
6.3
4.3
1.9
0.7
0.2
3
1.5
2.1
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.