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Sunday 3 February 2013, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
24% 30% 45%
Home win
24.5%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
45.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 24.5% 4.09
Draw 30.2% 3.32
PAOK 45.4% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.12
Over 1.5 64.3% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.7% 2.80
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.73
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.79
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.65
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.9% 2.33
No 57.1% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 54.6% 1.83
Aris Thessalonikis / PAOK 69.8% 1.43
Draw / PAOK 75.5% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
14.1
9.6
4.1
1.3
0.3
1
9.3
13.7
8.3
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
4.4
5.6
3.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.3
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.