Monday 28 January 2013, 19:30
Stadio Kerkyras
Full time
39%
32%
29%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
28.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOK Kerkyra | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.1% | 7.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.6% | 6.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.4% | 18.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOK Kerkyra / Draw | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| AOK Kerkyra / Aris Thessalonikis | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.1
|
11.2
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
14.2
|
6.1
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
7.5
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Sep 2012
Aris Thessalonikis
1-0
AOK Kerkyra
Apr 2012
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
AOK Kerkyra
Jan 2012
AOK Kerkyra
1-0
Aris Thessalonikis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.