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Sunday 22 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
50% 27% 23%
Home win
50.2%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
22.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 50.2% 1.99
Draw 27.1% 3.69
AOK Kerkyra 22.7% 4.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.07
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Over 3.5 24.0% 4.17
Under 3.5 76.0% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.32
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.9% 2.04
No 51.1% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 77.3% 1.29
Aris Thessalonikis / AOK Kerkyra 72.9% 1.37
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 49.8% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
7.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
12.0
12.9
5.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.8
9.3
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.0
4.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.