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Sunday 8 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
91% 7% 2%
Home win
91.2%
Draw
6.7%
Away win
2.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 91.2% 1.10
Draw 6.7% 14.97
AOK Kerkyra 2.1% 46.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.2% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.8% 55.90
Over 1.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.1% 12.38
Over 2.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 2.5 22.0% 4.55
Over 3.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 3.5 40.9% 2.45
Over 4.5 39.6% 2.53
Under 4.5 60.4% 1.66

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.54
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 97.9% 1.02
Olympiakos Piraeus / AOK Kerkyra 93.3% 1.07
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 8.8% 11.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
5.6
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
10.5
5.4
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
12.7
6.5
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
11.5
5.9
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
8.3
4.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.