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Sunday 25 March 2012, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
76% 18% 6%
Home win
76.1%
Draw
17.9%
Away win
6.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 76.1% 1.31
Draw 17.9% 5.59
Asteras Tripolis 6.0% 16.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 11.98
Over 1.5 72.5% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.5% 3.63
Over 2.5 46.6% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.79
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.5% 3.17
No 68.5% 1.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 94.0% 1.06
Olympiakos Piraeus / Asteras Tripolis 82.1% 1.22
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 23.9% 4.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
16.2
7.7
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.4
7.6
1.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
12.2
5.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
6.4
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.7
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.