Sunday 4 March 2012, 15:00
Gipedo Astera Tripolis
Full time
38%
35%
27%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
35.5%
Away win
26.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.2% | 10.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.9% | 34.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| No | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / Ergotelis | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
19.2
|
13.0
|
5.2
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
13.8
|
4.9
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
6.1
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2015
Asteras Tripolis
2-1
Ergotelis
Nov 2014
Ergotelis
1-4
Asteras Tripolis
Mar 2014
Asteras Tripolis
2-3
Ergotelis
Nov 2013
Ergotelis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Oct 2011
Ergotelis
2-0
Asteras Tripolis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.