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Sunday 5 February 2012, 15:00 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
52% 37% 11%
Home win
51.8%
Draw
36.9%
Away win
11.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 51.8% 1.93
Draw 36.9% 2.71
Doxa Dramas 11.3% 8.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 0.5 27.0% 3.70
Over 1.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 1.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 2.5 15.0% 6.68
Under 2.5 85.0% 1.18
Over 3.5 4.6% 21.72
Under 3.5 95.4% 1.05
Over 4.5 1.2% 85.91
Under 4.5 98.8% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 18.1% 5.52
No 81.9% 1.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 88.7% 1.13
Asteras Tripolis / Doxa Dramas 63.1% 1.58
Draw / Doxa Dramas 48.2% 2.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
27.0
8.1
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
26.1
9.2
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
13.3
4.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
4.5
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Doxa Dramas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.