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Saturday 7 January 2012, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
34% 37% 29%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
37.1%
Away win
29.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 33.8% 2.96
Draw 37.1% 2.70
Panetolikos 29.1% 3.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 0.5 21.4% 4.68
Over 1.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 1.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 2.5 21.2% 4.73
Under 2.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 3.5 7.6% 13.14
Under 3.5 92.4% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.3% 44.23
Under 4.5 97.7% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.5% 3.28
No 69.5% 1.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 70.9% 1.41
Asteras Tripolis / Panetolikos 62.9% 1.59
Draw / Panetolikos 66.2% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.4
14.7
5.8
1.4
0.3
0.0
1
16.3
13.6
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
7.1
5.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
2.0
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.