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Wednesday 4 January 2012, 17:15 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
22% 25% 53%
Home win
22.4%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
52.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 22.4% 4.47
Draw 25.0% 3.99
Panathinaikos 52.6% 1.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.74
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.44
Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.1% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.7% 3.26
Under 3.5 69.3% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.59
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.84
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 47.4% 2.11
Panetolikos / Panathinaikos 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Panathinaikos 77.6% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
9.9
9.2
5.3
2.3
0.8
1
5.8
11.9
9.8
5.6
2.5
0.9
2
3.4
5.9
5.2
3.0
1.3
0.5
3
1.2
2.1
1.8
1.1
0.5
0.2
4
0.3
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.