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Saturday 26 November 2011, 19:30 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
30% 26% 44%
Home win
30.0%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
44.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 30.0% 3.34
Draw 25.9% 3.86
AEK Athens FC 44.1% 2.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.94
Over 1.5 79.0% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.0% 4.76
Over 2.5 55.1% 1.82
Under 2.5 44.9% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.7% 3.06
Under 3.5 67.3% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.6% 6.03
Under 4.5 83.4% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.4% 1.71
No 41.6% 2.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 55.9% 1.79
Panetolikos / AEK Athens FC 74.1% 1.35
Draw / AEK Athens FC 70.0% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
8.3
7.2
3.8
1.5
0.5
1
6.5
12.2
9.2
4.9
2.0
0.6
2
4.6
7.4
5.9
3.1
1.3
0.4
3
2.0
3.2
2.5
1.3
0.5
0.2
4
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.