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Sunday 23 October 2011, 18:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
3–1
HT 1–0
37% 34% 29%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
33.8%
Away win
29.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 37.0% 2.70
Draw 33.8% 2.96
AEK Athens FC 29.2% 3.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.5% 6.08
Over 1.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 1.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 2.5 28.4% 3.52
Under 2.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 3.5 11.8% 8.50
Under 3.5 88.2% 1.13
Over 4.5 4.0% 24.71
Under 4.5 96.0% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.1% 2.69
No 62.9% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 70.8% 1.41
OFI / AEK Athens FC 66.2% 1.51
Draw / AEK Athens FC 63.0% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.5
12.6
5.7
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
14.9
14.2
5.7
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
7.8
6.7
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
2.6
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.