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Saturday 1 October 2011, 19:30 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
29% 24% 46%
Home win
29.3%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
46.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 29.3% 3.41
Draw 24.3% 4.11
Ergotelis 46.3% 2.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.63
Over 1.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 1.5 17.0% 5.89
Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Over 3.5 39.0% 2.57
Under 3.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.3% 4.69
Under 4.5 78.7% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.9% 1.59
No 37.1% 2.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 53.7% 1.86
OFI / Ergotelis 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Ergotelis 70.7% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
6.9
6.7
4.0
1.8
0.6
1
5.2
11.0
9.3
5.5
2.5
0.9
2
4.0
7.2
6.4
3.8
1.7
0.6
3
1.9
3.3
3.0
1.8
0.8
0.3
4
0.6
1.1
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.