Thursday 4 December 2014, 19:30
Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis
Full time
46%
28%
25%
Home win
46.3%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
25.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI / Draw | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| OFI / Ergotelis | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
8.2
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
13.4
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
8.9
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2015
Ergotelis
3-2
OFI
Feb 2014
Ergotelis
0-1
OFI
Oct 2013
OFI
1-1
Ergotelis
Feb 2012
Ergotelis
0-1
OFI
Oct 2011
OFI
1-0
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.