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Sunday 19 October 2014, 16:00 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
68% 22% 10%
Home win
68.1%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
9.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 68.1% 1.47
Draw 22.1% 4.52
OFI 9.7% 10.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.28
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.57
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.58
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.0% 2.78
No 64.0% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 90.3% 1.11
Panathinaikos / OFI 77.9% 1.28
Draw / OFI 31.9% 3.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
16.3
9.8
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.6
8.5
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
9.5
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.4
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.