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Sunday 31 August 2014, 21:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
68% 22% 10%
Home win
68.0%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
10.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 68.0% 1.47
Draw 21.7% 4.60
Panionios 10.2% 9.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.24
Over 1.5 71.5% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.5% 3.51
Over 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.8% 1.83
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.37
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.5% 2.60
No 61.5% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 89.8% 1.11
Panathinaikos / Panionios 78.3% 1.28
Draw / Panionios 32.0% 3.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
4.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
15.2
9.9
2.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.9
8.8
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.4
5.6
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.5
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.