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Saturday 29 March 2014, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
31% 31% 37%
Home win
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
37.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 31.3% 3.20
Draw 31.3% 3.19
Asteras Tripolis 37.4% 2.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.80
Over 1.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.7% 2.73
Over 2.5 35.5% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.07
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.63
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.31
No 56.6% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 62.6% 1.60
Panionios / Asteras Tripolis 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 68.7% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
12.6
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
11.2
14.3
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.0
6.7
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.0
2.2
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.