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Sunday 2 March 2014, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
55% 26% 18%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
18.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 55.5% 1.80
Draw 26.1% 3.83
AEL Kallonis 18.4% 5.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.73
Over 1.5 70.9% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.2% 4.31
Under 3.5 76.8% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.2% 9.77
Under 4.5 89.8% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.9% 2.18
No 54.1% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 81.6% 1.23
Panionios / AEL Kallonis 73.9% 1.35
Draw / AEL Kallonis 44.5% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
6.5
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
13.3
12.3
4.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.3
9.4
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
5.1
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.5
2.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.