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Sunday 2 February 2014, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
26% 28% 45%
Home win
26.5%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
45.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 26.5% 3.77
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Asteras Tripolis 45.4% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.78
Over 1.5 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.8% 3.48
Over 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.4% 4.27
Under 3.5 76.6% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.63
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 54.6% 1.83
AEL Kallonis / Asteras Tripolis 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 73.5% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
11.4
8.7
4.2
1.5
0.4
1
8.0
13.3
9.0
4.3
1.5
0.4
2
4.5
6.5
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.6
2.2
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.