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Saturday 12 September 2015, 16:00 Stadio Municipal Full time
28% 30% 41%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
41.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 28.5% 3.51
Draw 30.5% 3.28
Asteras Tripolis 41.1% 2.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.14
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.39
Over 1.5 65.2% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.8% 2.88
Over 2.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.56
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.88
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.7% 2.24
No 55.3% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 58.9% 1.70
AEL Kallonis / Asteras Tripolis 69.6% 1.44
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 71.5% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
12.8
8.3
3.4
1.0
0.3
1
10.0
14.0
8.1
3.3
1.0
0.2
2
5.3
6.4
3.9
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.7
2.1
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.