Skip to content
Saturday 31 January 2015, 17:15 Stadio Municipal Full time
28% 30% 42%
Home win
28.0%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
41.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 28.0% 3.58
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Asteras Tripolis 41.8% 2.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.53
Over 1.5 65.6% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.4% 2.91
Over 2.5 38.1% 2.63
Under 2.5 61.9% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.3% 5.46
Under 3.5 81.7% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.53
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 58.2% 1.72
AEL Kallonis / Asteras Tripolis 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 72.0% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
12.8
8.5
3.5
1.1
0.3
1
9.8
14.0
8.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
5.1
6.4
4.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.7
2.1
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.