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Wednesday 14 January 2015, 17:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
54% 28% 18%
Home win
53.5%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
18.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 53.5% 1.87
Draw 28.4% 3.52
PAS Giannina 18.1% 5.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.19
Over 1.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.77
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.59
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.0% 2.50
No 60.0% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 81.9% 1.22
Asteras Tripolis / PAS Giannina 71.6% 1.40
Draw / PAS Giannina 46.5% 2.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
7.6
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.8
12.7
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
8.6
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.7
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.