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Thursday 18 December 2014, 17:15 Stadio Zosimades Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
29% 29% 42%
Home win
28.8%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
42.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 28.8% 3.47
Draw 29.0% 3.45
PAOK 42.2% 2.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 9.96
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.7% 4.61
Under 3.5 78.3% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.3% 10.72
Under 4.5 90.7% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.6% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 57.8% 1.73
PAS Giannina / PAOK 71.0% 1.41
Draw / PAOK 71.2% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
11.5
8.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
1
9.0
13.7
8.6
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
5.1
6.8
4.5
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.8
2.4
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.