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Sunday 9 November 2014, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
54% 26% 20%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
19.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 53.7% 1.86
Draw 26.5% 3.78
Panathinaikos 19.8% 5.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.92
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.49
Over 2.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.1% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.6% 4.23
Under 3.5 76.4% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.53
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.2% 2.12
No 52.8% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 80.2% 1.25
PAOK / Panathinaikos 73.5% 1.36
Draw / Panathinaikos 46.3% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
6.7
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
12.8
12.5
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.8
9.4
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
5.7
5.0
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.