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Sunday 26 October 2014, 18:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
69% 20% 10%
Home win
69.2%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
10.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 69.2% 1.45
Draw 20.4% 4.89
Panathinaikos 10.4% 9.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.71
Over 1.5 75.6% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.4% 4.10
Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 3.5 71.5% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.33
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 89.6% 1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panathinaikos 79.6% 1.26
Draw / Panathinaikos 30.8% 3.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
3.9
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
13.2
9.6
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
14.0
9.2
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
9.5
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
4.8
3.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.