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Sunday 14 September 2014, 20:30 Stadio Municipal Full time
20% 27% 53%
Home win
19.8%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
53.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 19.8% 5.05
Draw 26.8% 3.74
Panathinaikos 53.4% 1.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.51
Over 1.5 70.5% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.5% 3.39
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 3.5 77.2% 1.29
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.03
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.4% 2.16
No 53.6% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 46.6% 2.15
AEL Kallonis / Panathinaikos 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Panathinaikos 80.2% 1.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
13.1
10.9
5.7
2.2
0.7
1
6.8
12.6
9.3
4.9
1.9
0.6
2
3.2
5.1
4.0
2.1
0.8
0.3
3
0.9
1.5
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.