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Monday 11 January 2016, 19:30 Stadio Municipal Full time
19% 27% 54%
Home win
18.9%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
53.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 18.9% 5.28
Draw 27.1% 3.69
Panathinaikos 53.9% 1.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.74
Over 1.5 68.7% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.3% 3.20
Over 2.5 41.7% 2.40
Under 2.5 58.3% 1.71
Over 3.5 21.1% 4.75
Under 3.5 78.9% 1.27
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.18
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.3% 2.26
No 55.7% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 46.1% 2.17
AEL Kallonis / Panathinaikos 72.9% 1.37
Draw / Panathinaikos 81.1% 1.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
14.0
11.3
5.8
2.2
0.7
1
7.0
12.6
9.2
4.7
1.8
0.6
2
3.1
4.8
3.7
1.9
0.7
0.2
3
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.