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Wednesday 26 March 2014, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
82% 13% 5%
Home win
81.9%
Draw
13.1%
Away win
5.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 81.9% 1.22
Draw 13.1% 7.62
AEL Kallonis 5.0% 20.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.49
Over 1.5 83.2% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.8% 5.94
Over 2.5 61.9% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.1% 2.63
Over 3.5 39.6% 2.52
Under 3.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 4.5 21.9% 4.58
Under 4.5 78.1% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.1% 2.56
No 60.9% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 95.0% 1.05
Panathinaikos / AEL Kallonis 86.9% 1.15
Draw / AEL Kallonis 18.1% 5.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
10.5
6.2
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
14.5
7.8
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.8
6.9
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
8.5
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
4.5
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.