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Sunday 23 February 2014, 15:00 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
67% 22% 11%
Home win
66.8%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
10.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 66.8% 1.50
Draw 22.5% 4.45
Ergotelis 10.7% 9.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.69
Over 1.5 70.4% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.6% 3.38
Over 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.8% 4.38
Under 3.5 77.2% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 9.99
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.2% 2.61
No 61.8% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 89.3% 1.12
Panathinaikos / Ergotelis 77.5% 1.29
Draw / Ergotelis 33.2% 3.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
4.6
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
15.6
10.2
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.8
8.8
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.1
5.4
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.2
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.