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Saturday 14 March 2015, 15:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
22% 27% 51%
Home win
22.0%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
51.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 22.0% 4.54
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Panathinaikos 51.4% 1.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.67
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.97
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.71
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 48.6% 2.06
Ergotelis / Panathinaikos 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Panathinaikos 78.0% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
11.7
9.9
5.2
2.1
0.7
1
6.8
12.6
9.5
5.0
2.0
0.6
2
3.6
5.7
4.5
2.4
1.0
0.3
3
1.1
1.8
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.