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Sunday 15 February 2015, 15:00 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
2–3
HT 2–1
22% 29% 49%
Home win
21.9%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
48.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 21.9% 4.56
Draw 29.2% 3.43
Panathinaikos 48.9% 2.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.52
Over 1.5 65.5% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.5% 2.90
Over 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.2% 5.48
Under 3.5 81.8% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.61
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.33
No 57.0% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 51.1% 1.96
OFI / Panathinaikos 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Panathinaikos 78.1% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
14.4
10.4
4.8
1.6
0.5
1
8.4
13.3
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
3.8
5.2
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
1.1
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.