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Saturday 17 January 2015, 19:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
24% 30% 46%
Home win
24.1%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
46.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 24.1% 4.16
Draw 29.8% 3.35
Panathinaikos 46.1% 2.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.14
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.37
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 3.5 17.9% 5.59
Under 3.5 82.1% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.96
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 53.9% 1.86
Panionios / Panathinaikos 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Panathinaikos 75.9% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
13.9
9.7
4.3
1.4
0.4
1
9.0
13.6
8.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
4.3
5.6
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.2
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.