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Monday 22 December 2014, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
72% 19% 8%
Home win
72.2%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
8.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 72.2% 1.38
Draw 19.4% 5.16
AOK Kerkyra 8.4% 11.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.92
Over 1.5 74.3% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.7% 3.88
Over 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Over 3.5 27.0% 3.71
Under 3.5 73.0% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.92
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.63
No 62.0% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 91.6% 1.09
Panathinaikos / AOK Kerkyra 80.6% 1.24
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 27.8% 3.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
14.4
8.9
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.4
8.7
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.6
6.0
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
5.5
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.3
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.