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Monday 9 January 2017, 19:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
71% 20% 8%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
8.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 71.3% 1.40
Draw 20.4% 4.91
AOK Kerkyra 8.4% 11.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.29
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.50
Over 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.8% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.19
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.38
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.5% 2.82
No 64.5% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 91.6% 1.09
Panathinaikos / AOK Kerkyra 79.6% 1.26
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 28.7% 3.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
15.9
9.1
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
16.1
8.4
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
10.5
5.5
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
5.1
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.0
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.