Sunday 18 December 2016, 19:30
AEL FC Arena
Full time
23%
27%
50%
Home win
23.0%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
50.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 23.0% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.5% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.1% | 9.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Larisa / Panathinaikos | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Panathinaikos | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
11.8
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
12.8
|
9.4
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
5.9
|
4.5
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.9
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Panathinaikos
1-1
Larisa
Dec 2025
Larisa
2-2
Panathinaikos
Jan 2021
Panathinaikos
2-0
Larisa
Sep 2020
Larisa
1-1
Panathinaikos
Jan 2020
Larisa
0-2
Panathinaikos
Oct 2019
Panathinaikos
1-2
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.